Earthquakes--The Chance For The Big One?

The 2007 Working Group On California Earthquake Probablities released a report called The Uniform California Earthquake Forecast(UCERF). The report states that California has a 99.7 probablility of a magnitude 6.7 earthquake during the next 30 years. The southern most segment of the San Andreas Fault has the highest chance of producing this type of quake. The Hayward fault has the highest chance of producing this magnitude in the San Francisco Bay area--about 63%. For all magnitude earthquakes--southern California is more likely to experience this than northern California. In any event the general population needs to have an earthquake response plan as well as a ready made earthquake kit.